Commentary/Yazad Darasha
Last week,
we looked at some of the tasks that, like those set for
Hercules in his time of history/mythology, Finance Minister P
Chidambaram may need to perform to prove himself. We have so far looked
at how Chidambaram needs to jumpstart the economy, control the
deficit, clean up the petroleum sector, and hike agricultural
output.
Here is the second instalment of labours, starting with the crying need
to provide viable infrastructure.
Improve Infrastructure: Industry, as well the
entire country, is reeling from a severe dearth of quality infrastructure. From
telecommunications
to transport, the basic services that fuel growth are sorely lacking, or
in a shambles.
Chidambaram has realised that. As part of the 1996-97 Budget, which he
presented in July 1996, he proposed the setting up of the Infrastructure
Development Finance Company, with an equity base of Rs 2 billion. The
capital needs of the infrastructure sector are variously placed in a
range starting at Rs 5 billion and going all the way up to Rs 200 trillion.
Obviously, the IDFC is horribly undercapitalised. But it is a
small -- a very small -- step in the direction Chidambaram knows he must
go.
Ever since Indira Gandhi tentatively and hesitantly began the process of
privatisation, successive governments have baulked at taking anything
more than half-measures in this respect. Rs 2 billion sounds like just
another edition of that tradition.
Perhaps Chidambaram needs to pursue the concept of infrastructure
privatisation a little more intensively. More build-operate-transfer
projects. More transparency in awarding them, so that there are more
bidders for any project. Perhaps it is also time to take a good look at
private participation in rail services as well.
Recast the Disinvestment Process: In this area too, half-measures have
been the name of the game. Besides, how can a government sell PSU
equity, and then use the proceeds to merely increase its own
non-revenue-generating expenditure?
Rather than simply selling parts of the equity and retaining management
control with 51 per cent, the government could think about outright
privatisation, and hold a considerable -- but not controlling -- stake
in the emerging entity. This way, it can have its cake -- in the form of
proceeds from the equity sale -- and eat it too -- in the form of
regular dividends.
It is an idea whose time may have arrived. But does a 13-party
government have the gumption to suggest it? On the other hand, with
opposition to any idea fragmented into so many pieces, a coalition may
be the ideal launch vehicle for hard decisions.
Free the Insurance Sector: Coming from this perspective, it may be a
good time to free the insurance segment from the stranglehold of the
public sector. This does not mean privatising the Life Insurance
Corporation, the General Insurance Corporation and all its myriad
subsidiaries. What it does mean is allowing others to enter the segment.
With such a step, Chidambaram will be doing yeoman service to the
common people, people who are so fed up with the abysmal service they
receive for the high premia they pay, that they would rather be
insecure than insure, to paraphrase the LIC line.
How Chidambaram will get this past the Left elements of the coalition
government is not yet clear. But one thing is: the soft, molly-coddled
elements of the public sector staff need to be jerked awake to the new
realities of a more demanding clientele. If they continue to slumber,
let them. But let others who want to provide cheap, efficient service do
so.
And anyway, isn't it mandatory for India, as a signatory to the General
Agreement on Tariff and Trade and a member of the World Trade
Organisation, to open up the insurance sector? The sooner it is done,
the less time the pain will last. Hopefully the Left and Labour will
realise that.
Continue Tax Reform: On the taxation front,
Chidambaram has little to do
except continue the process of rationalisation. However, in his last
Budget, the finance minister went in the opposite direction, by imposing
the Minimum Alternate Tax and the two per cent mandatory import duty.
Perhaps this time, he will present his revamped Income Tax Act and make
amends for last Budget's mistakes.
What spendthrift governments do not realise -- so busy are they finding
quick and dirty ways ways of raising revenue so that they can live in
the style they are accustomed to -- is that a rational and low rate and
structure of taxation, whether personal or corporate, makes for higher
voluntary compliance. This automatically improves the takings at the
till.
This does not mean that tax evasion will overnight become a thing of the
past, merely an unpleasant dream. There will always be those that prefer
to evade rather than pay tax. But their numbers will certainly reduce,
if the cost of evasion is just not worth the amount of tax to be paid.
At the same time, vigilance should be beefed, so that the evaders do not
get away with it. In this respect, the recent protests by industry
against what it calls the emerging raid raj just do not hold water.
Industry does not have a very good track record in tax payments, as
indicated by the charges against several erstwhile blue-chip companies.
Chidambaram does, however, need to keep in mind that a corrupt income tax
officer will do his government's revenue generation more harm than good.
A more relevant set of incentives and disincentives may need to be
worked out for the non-corrupt and the corrupt respectively, for his new
Income Tax Act to do much good.
And with that, we go into the third edition of the Labours of
Chidambaram, which we will present next week.
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